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Pundits' Guide: Ontario 2018 Provincial Election

What's This

This pared-down version of the federal Pundits' Guide web database was prepared for the upcoming Ontario provincial election.

Use the Quick Search in the left-hand column of any page, or try the "Search the Database" page for more advanced queries.

To see detailed results from 2018, please click here.

Comments and updates can be sent to alice@punditsguide.ca.

Last updated: June 12, 2018

(on.punditsguide.ca)

Here is the world's fastest Pundits' Guide, assembled for easy navigation of provincial election results 1990-2018.

UPDATE (June 12, 2018): 2018 GE now entered in validated (though in 3 cases, only preliminary) status. The result data in the 2014 Tr (transposition of 2014 GE results onto 2015 Representation Order ridings) was generously supplied by Kyle J. Hutton, though we still need to transpose the Elector counts in order to compare turnouts. Thanks so much, Kyle!

Obviously the charting library is out of date, and not working. I'm hoping to transfer all my provincial sites over to the new design in coming months, and integrate the provincial and federal data. Wish me luck on that one!

UPDATE (Nov 1, 2017): 2014 GE now updated from validated to final results. By-elections from 2012 ff now updated to latest available results.

Note that relationship between the ridings from various Representation Orders is not yet entered; and in any event, the percentages when finally entered will be based on the percentage of electors, rather than on population as is the case federally.

Poll-by-poll result data, and corresponding mapping info has not been added as yet, nor am I blogging here either. And most pre-current election candidates are still missing genders.

As this was adapted from similar low-key versions of the Pundits' Guide for New Brunswick and B.C., some errors may be found which didn't get caught in the conversion. Please notify me of any errors (or any Candidates or candidate genders I'm missing) by email at alice@punditsguide.ca.

To make up for all that, here's the familiar Party Scorecard for the eight most recent ON general elections. Enjoy!

Party Scorecard - 2014 GE
  Lib NDP Grn PC Rest
2018 GE (124 seats) [8,410 of 8,419 polls reporting]
Vote
Pct
19.6%
(-19.1%)
33.6%
(+9.9%)
4.6%
(-0.2%)
40.5%
(+9.2%)
1.7%
(+0.2%)
Seats 7
(-63)
40
(+17)
1
(+1)
76
(+45)
 
 
2nds 27
(-13)
60
(+34)
 
 
37
(-21)
 
 
Rebate
Elig. (5%)
123
 
124
 
23
 
124
 
 
 
Raw
Vote
1,123,283
(-740,691)
1,925,574
(+780,752)
263,987
(+31,451)
2,322,422
(+813,611)
100,006
(+29,602)
 
2014 GE (107 seats)
Vote
Pct
38.7%
(+1.0%)
23.7%
(+1.0%)
4.8%
(+1.9%)
31.3%
(-4.2%)
1.5%
(+0.3%)
Seats 58
(+5)
21
(+4)
 
 
28
(-9)
 
 
2nds 36
(-11)
21
(+5)
 
 
50
(+6)
 
 
Rebate
Eligib.
105
(--)
75
(-6)
3
(+3)
92
(-5)
 
 
Raw
Vote
1,863,974
(+238,872)
1,144,822
(+163,314)
232,536
(+106,515)
1,508,811
(-21,265)
70,404
(+16,729)
 
2011 GE
Vote
Pct
37.7%
(-4.6%)
22.7%
(+6.0%)
2.9%
(-5.1%)
35.5%
(+3.8%)
1.2%
(-0.1%)
Seats 53
(-18)
17
(+7)
 
 
37
(+11)
 
 
2nds 47
(+13)
16
(+2)
 
(-1)
44
(-14)
 
 
Rebate
Eligib.
105
(-1)
81
(+44)
 
(-3)
97
(+6)
 
 
Raw
Vote
1,625,102
(-244,061)
981,508
(+239,833)
126,021
(-228,876)
1,530,076
(+131,460)
53,675
(-5,872)
 
2007 GE
Vote
Pct
42.3%
(+42.3%)
16.8%
(+16.8%)
8.0%
(+8.0%)
31.6%
(+31.6%)
1.4%
(+1.4%)
Seats 71
(+71)
10
(+10)
 
 
26
(+26)
 
 
2nds 34
(+34)
14
(+14)
1
(+1)
58
(+58)
 
 
 
 
Rebate
Eligib.
106
(+106)
37
(+37)
3
(+3)
91
(+91)
 
 
Raw
Vote
1,869,163
(+1,869,163)
741,675
(+741,675)
354,897
(+354,897)
1,398,616
(+1,398,616)
59,547
(+59,547)
 
2003 GE
Vote
Pct
46.5%
(+6.6%)
14.7%
(+2.1%)
2.8%
(+2.1%)
34.7%
(-10.4%)
1.4%
(-0.5%)
Seats 72
(+37)
7
(-2)
 
 
24
(-35)
 
 
2nds 30
(-31)
16
(+11)
 
 
57
(+20)
 
 
Rebate
Eligib.
103
(--)
35
(+7)
 
 
91
(-11)
 
(-1)
Raw
Vote
2,090,001
(+338,529)
660,730
(+109,923)
126,651
(+95,870)
1,559,181
(-418,878)
60,681
(-18,407)
 
1999 GE
Vote
Pct
39.9%
(+39.9%)
12.6%
(+12.6%)
0.7%
(+0.7%)
45.1%
(+45.1%)
1.8%
(+1.8%)
Seats 35
(+35)
9
(+9)
 
 
59
(+59)
 
 
2nds 61
(+61)
5
(+5)
 
 
37
(+37)
 
 
Rebate
Eligib.
103
(+103)
28
(+28)
 
 
102
(+102)
1
(+1)
Raw
Vote
1,751,472
(+1,751,472)
550,807
(+550,807)
30,781
(+30,781)
1,978,059
(+1,978,059)
79,088
(+79,088)
 
1995 GE
Vote
Pct
31.1%
(-1.4%)
20.5%
(-17.0%)
0.3%
(-0.4%)
45.0%
(+21.5%)
3.1%
(-2.7%)
Seats 30
(-6)
17
(-57)
 
 
82
(+62)
1
(+1)
2nds 77
(+1)
25
(-12)
 
 
28
(+11)
 
 
Rebate
Eligib.
129
(-1)
84
(-45)
 
(-1)
129
(+40)
1
(-4)
Raw
Vote
1,291,326
(-10,808)
854,163
(-655,343)
14,108
(-15,989)
1,870,110
(+925,546)
128,663
(-103,115)
 
1990 GE
Vote
Pct
32.4%
(+32.4%)
37.6%
(+37.6%)
0.8%
(+0.8%)
23.5%
(+23.5%)
5.8%
(+5.8%)
Seats 36
(+36)
74
(+74)
 
 
20
(+20)
 
 
2nds 76
(+76)
37
(+37)
 
 
17
(+17)
 
 
Rebate
Eligib.
130
(+130)
129
(+129)
1
(+1)
89
(+89)
5
(+5)
Raw
Vote
1,302,134
(+1,302,134)
1,509,506
(+1,509,506)
30,097
(+30,097)
944,564
(+944,564)
231,778
(+231,778)